Date Published:
Jan 1, 2007
Abstract:
We model the current system of refugee protection based on the 1951 Convention
Relating to the Status of Refugees as a Pareto improving contract that bound states to
provide a more efficient level of the global public good of refugee protection. Our analysis
suggests that the increase in economic migration since the 1951 Convention was adopted has
made it more difficult for host states to distinguish between refugees and those who migrate
in search of economic opportunities. The response of states to this screening problem has
been to shade on performance of their obligations under the 1951 Convention by,
inter alia,
increasing the standards of proof of their refugee status determination procedures, resulting
in more false negatives and
refoulement of refugees. We show that the choice of standard
of proof can exhibit strategic complementarity; as more states use a high standard of proof,
the best response of other states may be to increase their standard of proof. We also model
potential reform schemes in which wealthy states pay poorer states to host refugees that
initially travel to the wealthy states, and argue that such transfer systems could ameliorate
the screening problem by inducing self-selection among those who migrate and result in
increased protection of refugees. However, such reforms could also make some developing
countries worse-off by increasing their burden of hosting refugees without fully compensating
them for their increased costs.
Notes:
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