Nigeria in the World Event (via Zoom)


Monday, April 26, 2021, 12:00pm to 1:30pm


Online Only

"The Political Demographic Origins of the Northern Security Crisis: Will an Agrarian Transformation Solve Nigeria’s Food Security Threat?"

Attend this event via Zoom


Paul M. Lubeck, Professor Emeritus of Political Sociology, UC Santa Cruz.


Darren Kew

Co-sponsored by the Center for Peace, Democracy and Development, University of Massachusetts Boston.

This event is online only. Please click the "Read More" link for full instructions on how to attend this seminar.


Darren Kew, Associate Professor, McCormack Graduate School, University of Massachusetts, Boston.

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In the face of endemic violence in the northern states, Professor Lubeck deploys the method of comparative political demography to map how the region’s surging population has undermined the capacity of governance institutions to meet youthful aspirations.  Concurrently, in a future in which the secular decline of per capita petro-rents is predicted to continue, two thorny questions arise: how will the Federal Government (FGN) provide food security to Nigeria’s surging urban population, especially concentrated in southern Nigeria, now estimated to reach 70% in 2050. Given the scale of this potential market, a related question asks: how will current or future forms of agro-capitalist investment transform the agrarian sector by creating supply chains that will meet the demand and tastes of urban consumers?

Speaker Bio:

Paul M. Lubeck is Professor Emeritus of Political Sociology at UC-Santa Cruz and retired recently as Interim Director of the African Studies Program at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). A recognized expert on the political economy of northern Nigeria, he has been an invited commentator with the BBC, PBS Newshour, Al-Jazeera, and the New York Times. Lubeck’s introduction to African agriculture and poverty eradication began as a grass-roots organizer of rural credit cooperatives on Niger-Nigeria border. Lubeck’s first book, Islam and Urban Labor in Northern Nigeria, was awarded the Herskovits Prize. His second book, The African Bourgeoisie analyzes many of the issues that would be discussed in this talk.